This is very interesting.
Top chart is for DAX Index
Bottom is for DAX Cumulative ADLN Index
ADLN is Advance Decline Index.
I have spoken about it before.
This is a REAL leading indicator.
Look at 2000 - DAX peaked parabolically
Look at ADLN line - it peaked in 1998 and was weakening since then.
The divergence in DAX and ADLN was striking and this was telling us that the rally is losing steam and the market is about to collapse.
This did happen in 2000 and ADLN gave a timely warning sign.
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Look at DAX in 2007-08
It peaked in 07 and again went on to peak in early 2008
Look at ADLN
It peaked in early 07 and was weakening since then
We saw this clear divergence between DAX and ADLN in 07 and 08
This was a great signal to get out of the DAX
ADLN was telling us that the market is going to collapse.
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Look at DAX in 2011 - now
It made some kind of double top.
ADLN is weak and flattish since 2010
It is telling us rally is losing steam
This is NOT a BULL market rally
This is a VERY BEARISH sign on DAX
DAX has risen since 2010 - ADLN has been flat - more or less
PLS KEEP AN EYE ON THIS
If DAX makes a new high or a triple top - and ADLN does not follow - WE HAVE A RED FLAG on the coming crash in DAX
This is simple yet elegant and works perfectly well.
Let us explore this in the coming months.
If I am right - this will be one more successful market call.
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