Everybody keeps on talking about RECOVERY in the markets.
I ask - WHAT RECOVERY?
Except the SPX - which is now drifting lower - I cant see a RECOVERY anywhere in sight.
Pls see below.
Look at NKY
Its almost flat since 2009 mid
SPX has gone up a pause last year in summer
Thanks for POMO and easy money from the FED
But this is now looking like a wedge to me
Wedges fall back to where they began from
My SPX target is at least 666
This is EUROPE
Look how weak is has been
Today it is at the same level it was in early 2009
I cant see any RECOVERY here
Look at EUROPE again
Flat since mid 2009
Way below 2007 top
Only Uk and Germany look like SPX
Europe is struggling and will falter soon
Look at 6M US Rates
0.1% now
Went to almost 0
People are still happy parking money in super safe super short term US T Bills
This says - They fear DEFLATION
Look at 2 Yr Rates
Rates are low and falling
I dont see any crazy HYPER INFLATION on the horizon
Look at 10 Yr Rates
Even they have been trending lower since Jan this year
I ask - WHAT RECOVERY?
Except the SPX - which is now drifting lower - I cant see a RECOVERY anywhere in sight.
Pls see below.
Look at NKY
Its almost flat since 2009 mid
SPX has gone up a pause last year in summer
Thanks for POMO and easy money from the FED
But this is now looking like a wedge to me
Wedges fall back to where they began from
My SPX target is at least 666
This is EUROPE
Look how weak is has been
Today it is at the same level it was in early 2009
I cant see any RECOVERY here
Look at EUROPE again
Flat since mid 2009
Way below 2007 top
Only Uk and Germany look like SPX
Europe is struggling and will falter soon
Look at 6M US Rates
0.1% now
Went to almost 0
People are still happy parking money in super safe super short term US T Bills
This says - They fear DEFLATION
Look at 2 Yr Rates
Rates are low and falling
I dont see any crazy HYPER INFLATION on the horizon
Look at 10 Yr Rates
Even they have been trending lower since Jan this year
No comments:
Post a Comment